Mode
paper only
Historical evaluations
456
Best historical ROI
-11.12%
Backtest accuracy
58.33%
Closing-line coverage
39.95%
Best approved spots
Open fight board →Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
approvedhigh
Adjusted
46.2%
Market
67.2%
Edge
-21.06%
Book
draftkings
Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
approvedhigh
Adjusted
68.5%
Market
88.9%
Edge
-20.42%
Book
draftkings
Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
approvedmedium
Adjusted
66.3%
Market
86.1%
Edge
-19.79%
Book
fanduel
Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
approvedhigh
Adjusted
58.7%
Market
40.0%
Edge
+18.66%
Book
fanduel
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
approvedhigh
Adjusted
64.7%
Market
82.0%
Edge
-17.30%
Book
draftkings
Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
approvedmedium
Adjusted
46.0%
Market
29.4%
Edge
+16.57%
Book
draftkings
Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus
UFC Freedom 250
approvedhigh
Adjusted
61.4%
Market
76.7%
Edge
-15.35%
Book
fanduel
Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi
UFC Freedom 250
approvedhigh
Adjusted
64.5%
Market
79.6%
Edge
-15.06%
Book
fanduel
System warnings
historical edge sample too small
historical roi not good enough
historical closing line coverage below 50pct
Value: 39.95
historical roi negative
Value: -0.1112
suppressed fight count high
Value: 11
Bet candidates
No paper/live candidates currently survive the filters.
Review queue
Mario Pinto vs Felipe Franco
reviewfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_B_external_history_used • market_distance_review • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend • model_sim_disagreement
Michael Page vs Sam Patterson
reviewmarket_distance_review • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend
Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy
reviewfighter_A_external_history_used • market_distance_review • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend
Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov
reviewfighter_A_external_history_used • market_distance_review • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend • model_sim_disagreement
Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin
reviewfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_low_stat_source_quality • fighter_A_stat_override_used • model_sim_disagreement • proxy_disagreement_review
Suppressed queue
Tai Tuivasa vs Sean Sharaf
suppressedfighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_external_history_used • fighter_B_stat_override_used • model_sim_disagreement
Jose Delano vs Robert Ruchala
suppressedfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_external_history_used • fighter_B_incomplete_stats • model_sim_disagreement
Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr.
suppressedfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_low_history • model_sim_disagreement
Tommy McMillen vs Manolo Zecchini
suppressedfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_external_history_used • fighter_B_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_low_stat_source_quality • fighter_B_stat_override_used • model_sim_disagreement
Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian
suppressedfighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_external_history_used • model_sim_disagreement
Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira
suppressedfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_A_low_stat_source_quality • fighter_A_stat_override_used • fighter_B_external_history_used • market_distance_warning • market_sanity_blend • model_sim_disagreement
Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz
suppressedfighter_B_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_low_history • model_sim_disagreement
Louie Sutherland vs Brando Pericic
suppressedfighter_A_external_history_used • fighter_A_incomplete_stats • fighter_B_external_history_used • fighter_B_incomplete_stats
Validation snapshot
Open validation →Accuracy
58.33%
Brier score
0.2410
ECE
0.0313
Best ROI
-11.12%